La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Pogoń Szczecin v Korona Kielce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Predicción 44.20%2.26momio equitativo
EV -4.96%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -4.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.25%44.08%45.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.062.072.1552.63%48.52%48.31%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Korona Kielce (Visitante)
Predicción 28.94%3.46momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.368%
Kelly +0.516%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%28.88%29.11%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.203.5035.71%31.52%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -0.922%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%26.87%26.81%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.22%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.29%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV +1.29%E +0.368%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.29%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV +1.29%E +0.368%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.06%EV -0.736%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.18%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 17:50 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.29%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -8.50%E -4.10%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:09 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.50%E -4.10%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 17:44 |
| BetUS | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.50%E -4.10%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 17:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 16:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.71%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-16 17:39 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.27%EV -13.36%E -6.82%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -13.80%E -7.08%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.20%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -12.31%E -4.06%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.63%EV -10.84%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-16 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-16 16:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -12.03%E -6.05%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-16 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -14.68%E -7.61%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-16 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.63%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -16.01%E -8.43%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -18.97%E -6.77%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-03-16 17:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 17:45 |