Language:English
Pogoń Szczecin v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%38.17%38.17%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.422.5545.45%41.50%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 37.16%2.69fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.31%37.18%39.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.502.6043.48%40.50%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.561%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.07%24.53%24.65%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.693.704.0032.26%27.10%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 38.26%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 37.16%; Draw: 24.58%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -2.45%E -0.959%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.21%EV -9.80%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.16%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.11%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.97%EV -2.42%E -0.610%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.76%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.79%EV -5.60%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.79%EV -5.60%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.57%E -3.58%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.97%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -23.81%E -7.68%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.17%EV -9.72%E -4.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.83%EV -6.72%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -5.37%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.17%EV -9.72%E -4.12%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.83%EV -6.72%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -5.37%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.74%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.22%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -11.25%E -4.85%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.85%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.70%EV -12.01%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.32%EV -13.92%E -6.19%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -12.66%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -15.84%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.14%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -12.74%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.32%EV -15.84%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.70% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |