La escuela de los momios

Pogoń Szczecin v GKS Katowice

Inicio: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Final: Pogoń Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Local)

Predicción 38.26%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.959%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.68%38.17%38.17%39.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.422.5545.45%41.50%41.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GKS Katowice (Visitante)

Predicción 37.16%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.31%37.18%39.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.502.6043.48%40.50%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.58%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.561%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.07%24.53%24.65%27.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.693.704.0032.26%27.10%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -2.45%E -0.959%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 15:29
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 15:29
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:29
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:29
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -5.12%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:30
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.50%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 15:30
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.21%EV -9.80%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 15:30
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.16%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.11%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.97%EV -2.42%E -0.610%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 15:29
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.76%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.79%EV -5.60%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 15:30
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.79%EV -5.60%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.68%E -0.421%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:28
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.76%EV -8.57%E -3.58%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.97%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -23.81%E -7.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-23 15:30
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.17%EV -9.72%E -4.12%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.83%EV -6.72%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -5.37%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 15:28
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.17%EV -9.72%E -4.12%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.83%EV -6.72%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -5.37%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -7.83%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.74%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.22%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.06%EV -11.25%E -4.85%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.34%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.85%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.70%EV -12.01%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 15:28
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-23 15:29
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.32%EV -13.92%E -6.19%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -12.66%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.99%EV -15.20%E -4.41%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -15.84%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.14%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -12.74%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-23 15:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.32%EV -15.84%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%EV -14.52%E -6.31%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.70%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30