L’École des cotes

Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 10:15 UTC

Score final : Piast Gliwice 1–3 Raków Częstochowa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 35.27%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.08%35.24%35.17%37.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.612.622.7842.55%38.37%38.17%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.49%2.82cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.745%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.06%35.50%35.47%37.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.552.552.7642.55%39.24%39.22%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.24%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.573%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.239%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.37%29.26%29.36%31.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.163.163.4035.71%31.63%31.65%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -1.95%E -0.701%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%EV -2.06%E -0.745%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 08:06
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -0.573%E -0.168%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 10:19
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 10:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:09
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:09
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:19
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:19
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:20
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:20
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:19
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -11.10%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 08:06
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -11.10%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 08:06
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.51%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -0.573%E -0.168%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 01:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -11.99%E -4.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:09
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -7.24%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -7.24%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:09
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 19:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 06:10
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 16:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 05:24
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:16
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -13.77%E -5.67%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 11:10
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -9.00%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 01:05
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -9.00%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 01:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 22:20
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 06:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 05:25
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.99%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 11:09
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.02%EV -15.54%E -6.53%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 11:09
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.61%EV -10.77%E -4.26%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 04:19
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-14 10:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -18.12%E -6.47%K -10.07%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-16 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 01:00
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.14%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.86%EV -12.35%E -5.00%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.00%EV -16.07%E -5.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-17 05:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -17.12%E -7.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 10:15
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.12%E -7.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -16.61%E -7.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -10.81%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-14 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-17 08:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-17 08:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-17 08:21
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-17 07:31
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-05-17 08:00