La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Predicción 35.27%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.701%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.08%35.24%35.17%37.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.612.622.7842.55%38.37%38.17%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)
Predicción 35.49%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.06%35.50%35.47%37.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.552.552.7642.55%39.24%39.22%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.24%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.573%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.239%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%29.26%29.36%31.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.163.4035.71%31.63%31.65%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -1.95%E -0.701%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%EV -2.06%E -0.745%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 08:06 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -0.573%E -0.168%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 10:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 10:15 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
| BetUS | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -11.10%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 08:06 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -11.10%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 08:06 |
| Bovada | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.51%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -0.573%E -0.168%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -11.99%E -4.84%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -7.24%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -7.24%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 19:50 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 06:10 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 05:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:16 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -13.77%E -5.67%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -9.00%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-14 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -9.00%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-14 01:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 06:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 05:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.99%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.02%EV -15.54%E -6.53%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.61%EV -10.77%E -4.26%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 04:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-14 10:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 10:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -18.12%E -6.47%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-16 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.14%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 34.86%EV -12.35%E -5.00%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.00%EV -16.07%E -5.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -17.12%E -7.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-16 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.12%E -7.28%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -16.61%E -7.07%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -10.81%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-14 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38% | 0.1% | 2026-05-17 08:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38% | 0.1% | 2026-05-17 08:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38% | 0.1% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 08:21 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |