مدرسة الاحتمالات

Piast Gliwice v Raków Częstochowa

البداية: 2026-05-17 10:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Piast Gliwice 1–3 Raków Częstochowa

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Piast Gliwice (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.27%2.84السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -0.701%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.08%35.24%35.17%37.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.612.622.7842.55%38.37%38.17%35.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Raków Częstochowa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.49%2.82السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.745%
Kelly -1.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.06%35.50%35.47%37.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.552.552.7642.55%39.24%39.22%36.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.24%3.42السعر العادل
EV -0.573%
الأفضلية -0.168%
Kelly -0.239%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.37%29.26%29.36%31.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.163.163.4035.71%31.63%31.65%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.64%EV -1.95%E -0.701%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%EV -2.06%E -0.745%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -7.59%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 08:06
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -0.573%E -0.168%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 10:19
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 10:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:09
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:09
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.03%E -0.607%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 11:19
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.77%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:19
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:20
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:20
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:19
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -11.10%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 08:06
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -11.10%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 08:06
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.51%EV -5.83%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -0.573%E -0.168%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 01:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -11.99%E -4.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:09
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -6.53%E -2.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -7.24%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -7.24%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:09
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 19:50
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 06:10
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.02%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:51
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.73%E -2.97%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 16:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 05:24
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:16
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -8.30%E -3.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -13.77%E -5.67%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 11:10
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -9.00%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 01:05
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -9.00%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -8.44%E -3.27%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 01:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 22:20
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 06:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 05:25
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.99%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 11:09
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.06%E -3.95%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.02%EV -15.54%E -6.53%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 11:09
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.61%EV -10.77%E -4.26%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 04:19
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.35%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-14 10:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -18.12%E -6.47%K -10.07%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-16 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 01:00
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.14%EV -13.59%E -5.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.86%EV -12.35%E -5.00%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.00%EV -16.07%E -5.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-17 05:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -17.12%E -7.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.28%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 10:15
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.12%E -7.28%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -16.61%E -7.07%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -10.81%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-14 01:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-17 08:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-17 08:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-17 08:21
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-17 07:31
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-05-17 08:00