Language:English
Piast Gliwice v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.68%42.90%42.87%44.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.152.152.2551.28%46.52%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -0.070%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.94%29.05%29.07%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.123.103.4436.36%32.08%32.26%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.702%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%28.05%28.06%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.303.5034.72%30.63%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 42.88%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 29.05%; Draw: 28.07%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.442. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.440, with an expected value of -0.070%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.75%E -0.501%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.23%E -2.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -1.52%E -0.449%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -3.16%E -0.915%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.29%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -0.070%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.78%EV -2.88%E -0.832%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.38%E -3.42%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.38%E -3.42%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -15.76%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-20 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -8.24%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.66%E -4.07%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -9.52%E -4.51%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -9.52%E -4.51%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.16%E -6.65%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.53%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.20%EV -11.98%E -3.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.27%EV -12.14%E -3.88%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.58%E -3.68%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-20 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.93%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.91%EV -13.72%E -4.62%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -14.39%E -4.72%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-20 16:47 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.58%EV -16.38%E -8.40%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.19%EV -20.11%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.22%EV -14.39%E -4.72%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.28% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |