La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Piast Gliwice v Radomiak Radom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Predicción 42.88%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.68%42.90%42.87%44.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.152.152.2551.28%46.52%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Radomiak Radom (Visitante)
Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -0.070%
Ventaja -0.020%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%29.05%29.07%31.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.123.103.4436.36%32.08%32.26%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.07%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.501%
Kelly -0.702%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%28.05%28.06%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.5034.72%30.63%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.52%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.75%E -0.501%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.23%E -2.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -1.52%E -0.449%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -3.16%E -0.915%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.29%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.94%EV -0.070%E -0.020%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.78%EV -2.88%E -0.832%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.38%E -3.42%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.38%E -3.42%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 14:09 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -15.76%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-20 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -8.24%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.66%E -4.07%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -9.09%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -9.52%E -4.51%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:52 |
| BetUS | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -9.52%E -4.51%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -16.34%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.16%E -6.65%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.53%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.20%EV -11.98%E -3.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.27%EV -12.14%E -3.88%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.58%E -3.68%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-20 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.93%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.91%EV -13.72%E -4.62%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -14.39%E -4.72%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-20 16:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.58%EV -16.38%E -8.40%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.19%EV -20.11%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.22%EV -14.39%E -4.72%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.28% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |