Language:English
Piast Gliwice v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 40.52%2.47fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%40.52%40.48%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.3847.62%43.94%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 32.62%3.07fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.494%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%32.51%32.70%33.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.803.0238.17%35.81%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.46%26.97%26.83%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.6030.77%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 40.52%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 32.62%; Draw: 26.86%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.02, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.62%EV -3.96%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -1.49%E -0.494%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 09:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.17%E -2.21%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -4.75%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 10:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.938%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.938%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.938%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 10:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 03:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 04:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 08:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 09:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 03:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 03:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.51%EV -8.01%E -3.53%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.71%EV -8.41%E -3.72%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.02%E -2.84%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 14:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 09:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 04:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 04:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 03:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 09:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.32%EV -12.06%E -5.56%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.77%EV -12.91%E -4.83%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.82%EV -12.87%E -5.99%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.75%EV -12.58%E -4.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.43%EV -10.84%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.87%E -5.99%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.87%E -5.99%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -14.90%E -7.09%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -14.54%E -5.55%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 10:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 10:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |