L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Piast Gliwice v Pogoń Szczecin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 10:16 UTC

Score final : Piast Gliwice 1–2 Pogoń Szczecin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 40.52%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.39%40.52%40.48%41.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.282.3847.62%43.94%43.86%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.62%3.07cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.494%
Kelly -0.739%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.17%32.51%32.70%33.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.792.803.0238.17%35.81%35.71%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -0.921%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.46%26.97%26.83%28.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.403.403.6030.77%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Piast Gliwice (Local) : 40.52% ; Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur) : 32.62% ; Match nul : 26.86%. Pour Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.07. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.02, pour une espérance de -1.49% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 10:15
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.62%EV -3.96%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -1.49%E -0.494%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 09:44
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 09:14
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 09:40
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.17%E -2.21%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -4.75%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 10:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.938%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 09:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.938%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 09:59
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.938%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 09:54
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 10:13
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 03:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 04:29
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 08:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:14
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 10:14
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 09:48
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 03:30
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 03:29
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.33%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.51%EV -8.01%E -3.53%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.71%EV -8.41%E -3.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.02%E -2.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:56
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 10:14
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.04%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 09:48
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 04:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 04:30
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 10:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 10:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -3.78%E -1.28%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 03:29
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.67%E -3.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 10:14
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.93%E -4.42%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 09:14
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.30%E -3.75%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 10:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.32%EV -12.06%E -5.56%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.77%EV -12.91%E -4.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.82%EV -12.87%E -5.99%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.75%EV -12.58%E -4.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.43%EV -10.84%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.87%E -5.99%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-20 09:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.87%E -5.99%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.56%E -5.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-20 10:15
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -14.90%E -7.09%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -14.54%E -5.55%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -8.69%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-20 10:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-20 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-20 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-20 10:04
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-20 10:04
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-09-20 10:15
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-09-20 09:49