A Escola das Odds

Nieciecza v Piast Gliwice

Início: 2026-04-06 10:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nieciecza (Local)

Previsão 30.67%3.26odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.483%
Kelly -0.702%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.54%30.66%30.68%31.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.962.953.2136.36%33.73%33.90%31.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Piast Gliwice (Visitante)

Previsão 42.28%2.37odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.64%42.28%42.24%43.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.56%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.05%3.70odd justa
EV -2.34%
Vantagem -0.648%
Kelly -0.897%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%27.06%27.08%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.393.403.6133.33%29.54%29.41%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.01%EV -1.55%E -0.483%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -3.42%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 10:00
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 09:25
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 09:25
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 09:35
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 09:25
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.94%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:08
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:30
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:25
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:04
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 09:34
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 09:35
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 10:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:55
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.14%E -2.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:24
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.14%E -2.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:25
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:10
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 09:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 09:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 10:10
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 10:10
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 09:45
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.79%EV -8.30%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.88%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.648%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:10
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 09:34
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 09:34
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.57%E -2.97%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 09:30
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:34
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:25
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:34
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.42%EV -12.06%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 09:59
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 10:10
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 09:35
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 09:24
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 09:34
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 09:35
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 31.65%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.65%EV -7.83%E -3.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 09:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 09:34
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.64%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-06 10:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-06 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-04-06 10:05