La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nieciecza v Piast Gliwice
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nieciecza (Local)
Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.483%
Kelly -0.702%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.54%30.66%30.68%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.953.2136.36%33.73%33.90%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Piast Gliwice (Visitante)
Predicción 42.28%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.64%42.28%42.24%43.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.56%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -0.897%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%27.06%27.08%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6133.33%29.54%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.01%EV -1.55%E -0.483%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -3.42%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.94%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 10:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 10:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.14%E -2.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 09:24 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.14%E -2.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 09:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 09:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.79%EV -8.30%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.88%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.648%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.57%E -2.97%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.42%EV -12.06%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-06 09:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.65%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.65%EV -7.83%E -3.59%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-06 09:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-06 09:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.64%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |