مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nieciecza v Piast Gliwice

البداية: 2026-04-06 10:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nieciecza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.67%3.26السعر العادل
EV -1.55%
الأفضلية -0.483%
Kelly -0.702%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.54%30.66%30.68%31.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.962.953.2136.36%33.73%33.90%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Piast Gliwice (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.28%2.37السعر العادل
EV -2.76%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -2.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.64%42.28%42.24%43.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.56%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.05%3.70السعر العادل
EV -2.34%
الأفضلية -0.648%
Kelly -0.897%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.81%27.06%27.08%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.393.403.6133.33%29.54%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.01%EV -1.55%E -0.483%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -3.42%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 10:00
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 09:25
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.96%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 09:25
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 09:35
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 09:25
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.94%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:08
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:30
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 09:25
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:04
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 09:34
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 09:35
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 10:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:55
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.14%E -2.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:24
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.14%E -2.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 09:25
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:10
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 09:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 09:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 10:10
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 10:10
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 09:45
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.79%EV -8.30%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.88%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -2.34%E -0.648%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 10:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:10
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 09:34
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 09:34
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.57%E -2.97%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 09:30
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:34
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:25
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 09:34
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.42%EV -12.06%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 09:59
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.77%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 10:10
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 09:35
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 09:24
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 09:34
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.10%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 09:35
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 31.65%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.65%EV -7.83%E -3.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 09:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -14.13%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 09:34
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.64%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 10:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-06 10:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-06 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-06 10:10
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-04-06 10:05