Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Śląsk Wrocław
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 62.56%1.60fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -8.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.20%62.58%62.71%65.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5371.43%68.14%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Śląsk Wrocław (Visit)
Prediction 15.56%6.43fair odd
EV +5.80%
Edge +0.853%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 6.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.51%15.47%15.59%16.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.865.906.8018.87%17.06%16.95%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.88%4.57fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.95%21.70%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.784.154.204.4026.46%24.08%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 62.56%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 15.56%; Draw: 21.88%. For Śląsk Wrocław (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV +5.80%E +0.853%K +1.00%G +0.058% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.54%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.68%EV +1.45%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.13%E +0.175%K +0.206%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -0.421%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -0.421%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -2.75%E -0.441%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -2.75%E -0.441%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 18:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.82%EV -8.36%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.61%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -8.98%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -9.76%E -1.68%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.77%E -4.10%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -12.87%E -2.30%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -12.87%E -2.30%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.61%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 09:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.32%EV -11.16%E -7.86%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.11%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -16.87%E -4.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.20%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -15.98%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.41%EV -17.30%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -17.54%E -3.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |