Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Legia Warszawa v Śląsk Wrocław

Início: 2026-08-28 18:30 UTC

Final: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Previsão 62.56%1.60odd justa
EV -4.28%
Vantagem -2.80%
Kelly -8.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.20%62.58%62.71%65.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.481.5371.43%68.14%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Visitante)

Previsão 15.56%6.43odd justa
EV +5.80%
Vantagem +0.853%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescimento +0.058%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.51%15.47%15.59%16.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.305.865.906.8018.87%17.06%16.95%14.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.88%4.57odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -0.850%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.77%21.95%21.70%23.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.784.154.204.4026.46%24.08%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Legia Warszawa (Local): 62.56%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visitante): 15.56%; Empate: 21.88%. Para Śląsk Wrocław (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.43. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV +5.80%E +0.853%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.54%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.68%EV +1.45%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.13%E +0.175%K +0.206%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -0.421%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -0.421%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -2.75%E -0.441%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -2.75%E -0.441%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 18:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:00
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:01
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -4.84%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 18:11
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:06
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.64%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 18:15
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.85%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -7.02%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 18:15
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 15.82%EV -8.36%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.61%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.84%EV -8.98%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -9.76%E -1.68%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 18:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.77%E -4.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -10.53%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -12.87%E -2.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -12.87%E -2.30%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.61%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.74%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -7.41%E -5.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 18:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 09:25
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.28%E -6.40%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -12.49%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.32%EV -11.16%E -7.86%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -10.30%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.41%E -8.86%K -31.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.12%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-28 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-28 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -13.59%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-28 18:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.11%EV -10.53%E -7.37%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -14.42%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -16.87%E -4.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-28 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.20%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -15.98%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.41%EV -17.30%E -4.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -17.54%E -3.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -5.93%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%0.9%2026-08-28 18:20
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-28 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-28 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-28 18:15
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-28 18:20