The School of Odds
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Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznań

2026-10-25 16:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prediction 35.17%2.84fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.21%35.13%35.09%36.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7741.67%38.51%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Visit)

Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.92%38.88%38.89%40.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.352.4346.51%42.63%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%25.99%26.02%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.84%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Legia Warszawa (Local): 35.17%; Lech Poznań (Visit): 38.85%; Draw: 25.98%. For Legia Warszawa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.77, with an expected value of -2.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.21%EV -2.57%E -0.928%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.47%EV -3.36%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.28%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.58%E -0.688%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 18:34
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 18:24
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.52%EV -9.48%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.72%EV -7.00%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.52%EV -9.48%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.72%EV -7.00%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 18:19
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 18:24
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 18:24
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 18:24
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 18:34
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.33%EV -9.48%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.97%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.07%E -4.83%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.07%E -4.83%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.85%EV -11.15%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-18 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -12.07%E -4.83%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -16.48%E -7.66%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-18 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.83%E -5.64%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -13.83%E -5.64%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-18 18:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.70%EV -13.83%E -5.64%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54%EV -16.48%E -7.66%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%17.6%2026-10-18 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.59%E -6.49%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-18 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 35.52%2.26I 44.25%NM 38.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%16.3%2026-10-18 18:35