Idioma:Español
Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznań
Resultado del partido
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Predicción 35.17%2.84momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.21%35.13%35.09%36.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7741.67%38.51%38.46%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 38.85%2.57momio equitativo
EV -5.60%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -3.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.92%38.88%38.89%40.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.352.4346.51%42.63%42.55%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.688%
Kelly -0.938%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%25.99%26.02%26.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.84%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Legia Warszawa (Local): 35.17%; Lech Poznań (Visitante): 38.85%; Empate: 25.98%. Para Legia Warszawa (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.77, con un valor esperado de -2.57%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.21%EV -2.57%E -0.928%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.47%EV -3.36%E -0.903%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.28%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.58%E -0.688%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.52%EV -9.48%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.72%EV -7.00%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.52%EV -9.48%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.72%EV -7.00%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.85%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.71%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.33%EV -9.48%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.97%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -10.31%E -4.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.07%E -4.83%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.07%E -4.83%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -5.01%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.85%EV -11.15%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -12.07%E -4.83%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -16.48%E -7.66%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-18 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.83%E -5.64%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -13.83%E -5.64%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-18 18:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.70%EV -13.83%E -5.64%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54%EV -16.48%E -7.66%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-10-18 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.59%E -6.49%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-18 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.52% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 38.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45% | 16.3% | 2026-10-18 18:35 |