La scuola delle quote

Lechia Gdańsk v Raków Częstochowa

Inizio: 2026-04-25 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (Casa)

Previsione 36.96%2.71quota equa
EV -0.195%
Vantaggio -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.79%36.86%36.95%37.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.76%40.00%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raków Częstochowa (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.18%2.76quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.39%36.27%36.26%37.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.492.482.6742.55%40.12%40.32%37.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.85%3.72quota equa
EV -3.33%
Vantaggio -0.925%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.53%26.88%26.79%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.59%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:39
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:39
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:40
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:40
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:40
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:45
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 15:45
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.98%EV -2.78%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:40
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.33%E -0.925%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 02:49
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.33%E -0.925%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:32
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -12.08%E -4.97%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -12.08%E -4.97%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:40
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.18%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.50%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.32%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 15:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.89%E -5.83%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 15:40
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.85%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.85%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 00:09
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 13:13
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.80%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.16%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:29
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.80%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.16%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 02:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 14:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 14:49
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.97%E -6.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 15:40
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.02%EV -7.96%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 09:08
BetUS2.49I 40.16%NM 37.02%EV -7.96%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 23:05
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.55%EV -8.82%E -3.50%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 00:09
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.55%EV -8.82%E -3.50%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 00:10
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 14:49
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 15:34
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -13.89%E -5.83%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 15:34
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.06%EV -10.18%E -4.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.46%EV -10.63%E -4.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 00:15
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 06:19
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 13:14
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.44%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-22 15:35
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -12.02%E -5.05%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-20 17:14
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.64%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.25%EV -9.51%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:33
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.58%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 15:34
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.15%EV -14.24%E -6.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.91%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 17:33
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.52%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.72%EV -14.97%E -6.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 06:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%10.1%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 36.95%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%11.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 53.38%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 24.24%71.9%2026-04-23 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 53.38%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 24.24%71.9%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 54.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 21.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 23.64%76.3%2026-04-23 23:14