La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lechia Gdańsk v Raków Częstochowa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Predicción 36.96%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.195%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.79%36.86%36.95%37.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.76%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)
Predicción 36.18%2.76momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.39%36.27%36.26%37.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.482.6742.55%40.12%40.32%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -0.925%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.88%26.79%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.59%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 15:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.195%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -2.04%E -0.771%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -10.27%E -4.14%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.98%EV -2.78%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.33%E -0.925%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.33%E -0.925%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:32 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -12.08%E -4.97%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -12.08%E -4.97%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.18%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.50%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.32%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 09:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.89%E -5.83%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.85%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.85%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 00:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 13:13 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.80%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.16%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.80%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.16%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 08:25 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 19:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.97%E -6.37%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 15:40 |
| Bovada | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.02%EV -7.96%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:08 |
| BetUS | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.02%EV -7.96%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.55%EV -8.82%E -3.50%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 00:09 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.55%EV -8.82%E -3.50%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 20:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 15:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -13.89%E -5.83%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.06%EV -10.18%E -4.19%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.46%EV -10.63%E -4.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 13:14 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -11.28%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.44%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-22 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -12.02%E -5.05%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-20 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.64%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.25%EV -9.51%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 15:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.58%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.15%EV -14.24%E -6.14%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.91%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 17:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.52%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.72%EV -14.97%E -6.37%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 06:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.95% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 53.38% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 22.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.24% | 71.9% | 2026-04-23 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 53.38% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 22.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.24% | 71.9% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 54.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 21.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 23.64% | 76.3% | 2026-04-23 23:14 |