The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Lech Poznań v Wisła Kraków

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Lech Poznań 3–1 Wisła Kraków

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lech Poznań (Local)

Prediction 49.71%2.01fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%49.86%49.69%53.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.831.9359.88%55.17%54.79%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.598%
Kelly +0.801%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.77%25.77%25.90%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.603.603.9531.25%27.75%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV -0.047%
Edge -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.90%24.37%24.41%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.774.1028.57%26.32%26.49%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lech Poznań (Local): 49.71%; Wisła Kraków (Visit): 25.91%; Draw: 24.38%. For Wisła Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:15
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:16
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:16
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV +2.36%E +0.598%K +0.801%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.047%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:16
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -15.00%E -8.77%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 16:16
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -4.07%E -2.11%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.44%EV -3.95%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -6.55%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -15.50%E -9.12%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -6.14%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -5.56%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -5.56%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.30%EV -8.54%E -4.64%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 16:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -14.50%E -8.43%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -16.99%E -10.17%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.14%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -16.99%E -10.17%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.14%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -16.99%E -10.17%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.14%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -16.99%E -10.17%K -25.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.14%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.49%E -0.621%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 16:15
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 16:25
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 16:20
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.03%EV -8.54%E -4.64%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.97%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 16:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 16:25
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.04%E -4.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 16:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.04%E -4.35%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 16:19
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.55%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.53%E -5.24%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -10.03%E -5.54%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 15:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -13.01%E -7.44%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.02%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -6.55%E -3.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.73%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.42%EV -13.96%E -4.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.85%EV -13.94%E -3.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.98%EV -15.50%E -9.12%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.75%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.28%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-31 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.32%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -17.07%E -5.34%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -13.46%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-31 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -13.01%E -7.44%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -17.07%E -5.34%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%0.0%2026-10-31 16:20
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-10-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-10-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-10-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-10-31 16:20
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-10-31 16:15