默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lech Poznań v Wisła Kraków

2026-10-31 16:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

56%

21%

23%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lech Poznań (主队)

预测 56.49%1.77公平赔率

EV -5.66%

优势 -3.39%

Kelly -8.44%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

55.37%56.49%56.38%57.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.621.621.6766.23%61.80%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wisła Kraków (客队)

预测 20.76%4.82公平赔率

EV -6.60%

优势 -1.47%

Kelly -1.89%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布

20.22%20.85%20.76%22.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.004.264.354.5025.00%23.46%22.99%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.75%4.40公平赔率

EV +0.106%

优势 +0.024%

Kelly +0.031%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布

21.53%22.66%22.86%23.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.604.064.004.4027.78%24.61%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Lech Poznań (主队)：56.49%；Wisła Kraków (客队)：20.76%；平局：22.75%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.395。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.400，由此产生+0.106%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队	平局 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Coolbet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.60%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV +0.106%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-24 16:55
Unibet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
Casumo🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
Grosvenor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
betPARX🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -9.71%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-24 16:50
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%	4.42I 22.62%NM 20.97%EV -8.26%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-24 18:32
Marathon Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.60%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -7.64%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -3.31%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-24 18:20
BetRivers🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -14.90%E -3.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-24 16:50
TABtouch🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.83%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -14.90%E -3.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-10-24 16:50
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -11.31%E -7.20%K -19.83%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -12.83%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-10-24 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.74%E -6.80%K -18.52%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -16.98%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-10-24 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.74%E -6.80%K -18.52%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -16.98%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-10-24 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.31%E -7.20%K -19.83%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.98%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-10-24 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.31%E -7.20%K -19.83%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.98%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-10-24 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.60%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-24 16:50
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.60%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-24 16:50
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.60%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-24 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.74%E -6.80%K -18.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -14.90%E -3.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-10-24 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 56.01%EV -10.74%E -6.80%K -18.52%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.58%EV -10.75%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000%	3.78I 26.46%NM 23.41%EV -14.00%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-10-24 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -11.87%E -7.61%K -21.20%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -16.98%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.68%E -3.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-10-24 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 55.94%EV -14.70%E -9.73%K -28.81%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 20.60%EV -14.90%E -3.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.46%EV -18.09%E -5.03%K -6.96%G +0.000%	18.4%	2026-10-24 16:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。