La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lech Poznań (Local)
Predicción 43.74%2.29momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.00%43.89%43.52%45.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.54%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)
Predicción 30.08%3.32momio equitativo
EV -0.149%
Ventaja -0.045%
Kelly -0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%29.96%30.26%30.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.043.003.3236.36%32.86%33.33%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.485%
Kelly -0.661%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.15%26.21%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.473.503.7533.33%28.84%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 08:43 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 16:00 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 08:43 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 15:53 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 08:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 06:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -6.39%E -2.99%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.83%E -3.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -0.149%E -0.045%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.13%E -0.845%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.83%E -3.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -0.149%E -0.045%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.13%E -0.845%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.04%EV -0.450%E -0.136%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -1.82%E -0.485%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 15:53 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 08:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 08:44 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 08:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.58%EV -8.58%E -4.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.39%EV -4.66%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -6.27%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.78%EV -9.45%E -4.57%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.33%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.27%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -9.45%E -4.57%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 16:00 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 16:24 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -11.64%E -5.76%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 16:03 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-01 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -14.28%E -5.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.79%E -5.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 08:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.26%EV -13.39%E -6.76%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.38%EV -15.19%E -5.39%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-01 16:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -14.70%E -7.54%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -17.29%E -6.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -17.53%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -16.45%E -8.61%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 16:19 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 16:25 |