مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa

البداية: 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lech Poznań (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.74%2.29السعر العادل
EV -3.77%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -3.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.00%43.89%43.52%45.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.102.102.2052.36%47.54%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Raków Częstochowa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.08%3.32السعر العادل
EV -0.149%
الأفضلية -0.045%
Kelly -0.064%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%29.96%30.26%30.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.043.003.3236.36%32.86%33.33%30.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.18%3.82السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.485%
Kelly -0.661%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.01%26.15%26.21%28.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.473.503.7533.33%28.84%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 08:43
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:20
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:19
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:20
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:19
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:20
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.08%E -2.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:54
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 08:43
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:53
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:14
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 08:44
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 06:39
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.07%EV -6.39%E -2.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 16:19
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.83%E -3.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -0.149%E -0.045%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.13%E -0.845%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:00
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.83%E -3.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.94%EV -0.149%E -0.045%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.13%E -0.845%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.04%EV -0.450%E -0.136%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -1.82%E -0.485%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 16:25
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:55
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 16:19
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 15:53
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 08:44
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 08:44
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 21:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 21:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 21:54
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 16:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 08:44
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.58%EV -8.58%E -4.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.39%EV -4.66%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -6.27%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:20
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.78%EV -9.45%E -4.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.33%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.27%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 16:14
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -9.45%E -4.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 16:00
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:25
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:24
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -11.64%E -5.76%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 16:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-01 16:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -14.28%E -5.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.51%E -6.26%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.79%E -5.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-01 08:44
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.26%EV -13.39%E -6.76%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.38%EV -15.19%E -5.39%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 16:24
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.95%EV -14.70%E -7.54%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.46%EV -17.29%E -6.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -17.53%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-01 15:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -16.45%E -8.61%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-01 16:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-03-01 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-03-01 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-03-01 16:19
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-03-01 16:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-03-01 16:25