赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom

开赛时间： 2026-09-20 18:15 UTC

最终结果： Lech Poznań 5–1 Radomiak Radom

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lech Poznań (主队)

预测 69.85%1.43公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -3.14%
Kelly -11.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.37

博彩公司预测分布
67.91%69.88%69.80%71.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.321.321.3779.37%75.79%75.76%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

Radomiak Radom (客队)

预测 12.87%7.77公平赔率
EV +5.55%
优势 +0.676%
Kelly +0.770%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 8.20

博彩公司预测分布
11.23%12.79%12.93%14.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.257.077.008.2016.00%14.15%14.29%12.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.28%5.79公平赔率
EV -0.665%
优势 -0.116%
Kelly -0.140%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.30%17.34%17.28%19.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.195.205.7521.74%19.27%19.23%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lech Poznań (主队)：69.85%；Radomiak Radom (客队)：12.87%；平局：17.28%。 对于“Radomiak Radom (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.77。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.20，对应+5.55%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.39%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.23%EV +5.55%E +0.676%K +0.770%G +0.043%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -8.44%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.59%E -8.27%K -37.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +2.97%E +0.372%K +0.425%G +0.013%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.98%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +2.97%E +0.372%K +0.425%G +0.013%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +2.97%E +0.372%K +0.425%G +0.013%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.98%EV -4.30%E -3.14%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 12.03%EV +2.59%E +0.325%K +0.371%G +0.010%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.99%EV -7.92%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.13%EV -6.40%E -4.77%K -18.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.30%EV -0.245%E -0.032%K -0.036%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -0.665%E -0.116%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.40%E -4.77%K -18.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -4.98%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -8.49%E -6.48%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -3.26%E -0.582%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 18:08
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 18:08
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -4.98%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -4.98%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:09
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.46%E -0.462%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 18:09
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.46%EV -4.30%E -3.14%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.72%EV -3.72%E -0.497%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.82%EV -7.75%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.58%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -6.68%E -0.922%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -6.71%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -6.68%E -0.922%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -20.53%E -4.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.40%E -4.77%K -18.82%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -7.32%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.40%E -4.77%K -18.82%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -7.32%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:09
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -6.40%E -4.77%K -18.82%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -7.32%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.40%E -4.77%K -18.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.665%E -0.116%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:50
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:50
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:49
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.00%E -3.68%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -10.17%E -1.96%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -4.98%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.70%E -4.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.90%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 18:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.36%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -12.47%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.71%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:09
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -8.49%E -6.48%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.40%EV -12.47%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.03%EV -7.58%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -8.49%E -6.48%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.40%EV -12.47%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.03%EV -7.58%E -1.42%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.10%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.42%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.35%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.08%E -3.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.26%EV -11.99%E -9.51%K -46.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.93%EV -13.12%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -15.35%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-20 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.66%EV -8.49%E -6.48%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -3.26%E -0.582%K -0.708%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 18:09
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:09
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 18:13
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -17.08%E -3.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -17.08%E -3.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -17.08%E -3.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -17.08%E -3.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.85%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.66%EV -17.62%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -13.62%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 18:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.58%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.80%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.82%EV -18.91%E -3.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.60%EV -14.49%E -2.93%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-20 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.03%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -19.55%E -3.13%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -6.71%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:09
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-09-20 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-09-20 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-09-20 18:09
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-09-20 18:09
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.6%2026-09-20 18:09
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-09-20 17:19