La scuola delle quote

Lech Poznań v GKS Katowice

Inizio: 2026-04-12 15:32 UTC

Finale: Lech Poznań 3–3 GKS Katowice

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lech Poznań (Casa)

Previsione 63.97%1.56quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.962%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.95%63.88%63.96%65.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.451.451.5473.53%68.84%68.97%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

GKS Katowice (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.52%6.05quota equa
EV +3.25%
Vantaggio +0.520%
Kelly +0.619%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.24%16.55%16.55%18.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.435.506.2520.83%18.41%18.18%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.51%5.13quota equa
EV -0.510%
Vantaggio -0.100%
Kelly -0.125%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.75%19.57%19.49%21.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.554.505.1025.00%21.96%22.22%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +3.25%E +0.520%K +0.619%G +0.020%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.46%E -0.492%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.93%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.32%EV +3.08%E +0.494%K +0.588%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -0.510%E -0.100%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 15:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -0.882%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -4.41%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -0.882%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -3.36%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.19%E -0.722%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.31%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:30
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -4.41%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 15:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:21
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 15:28
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.23%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.55%EV -5.34%E -0.932%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.22%EV -8.51%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 15:30
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -13.00%E -9.56%K -36.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -21.97%E -5.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.57%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.79%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.31%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:16
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 15:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.23%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.58%EV -11.08%E -7.97%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.42%EV -11.24%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -17.09%E -4.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 15:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.17%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -20.02%E -4.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.22%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -20.71%E -4.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%2.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.04%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.81%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30