مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lech Poznań v GKS Katowice

البداية: 2026-04-12 15:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lech Poznań 3–3 GKS Katowice

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lech Poznań (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.97%1.56السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.962%
Kelly -2.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.95%63.88%63.96%65.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.451.451.5473.53%68.84%68.97%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

GKS Katowice (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.52%6.05السعر العادل
EV +3.25%
الأفضلية +0.520%
Kelly +0.619%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.24%16.55%16.55%18.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.435.506.2520.83%18.41%18.18%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.51%5.13السعر العادل
EV -0.510%
الأفضلية -0.100%
Kelly -0.125%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.75%19.57%19.49%21.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.554.505.1025.00%21.96%22.22%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +3.25%E +0.520%K +0.619%G +0.020%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.46%E -0.492%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.93%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.32%EV +3.08%E +0.494%K +0.588%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -0.510%E -0.100%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 15:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -0.882%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -4.41%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -0.882%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -3.36%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.19%E -0.722%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.31%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:30
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -4.41%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 15:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:21
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 15:28
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.23%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.55%EV -5.34%E -0.932%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.22%EV -8.51%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 15:30
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -13.00%E -9.56%K -36.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -21.97%E -5.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.57%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.79%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.31%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:16
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 15:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.23%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.58%EV -11.08%E -7.97%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.42%EV -11.24%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -17.09%E -4.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 15:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.17%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -20.02%E -4.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.22%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -20.71%E -4.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%2.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.04%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.81%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30