L’École des cotes

Lech Poznań v GKS Katowice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:32 UTC

Score final : Lech Poznań 3–3 GKS Katowice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lech Poznań (Local)

Prévision 63.97%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.962%
Kelly -2.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.95%63.88%63.96%65.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5473.53%68.84%68.97%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GKS Katowice (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.52%6.05cote équitable
EV +3.25%
Avantage +0.520%
Kelly +0.619%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.24%16.55%16.55%18.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.435.506.2520.83%18.41%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.51%5.13cote équitable
EV -0.510%
Avantage -0.100%
Kelly -0.125%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.75%19.57%19.49%21.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.505.1025.00%21.96%22.22%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +3.25%E +0.520%K +0.619%G +0.020%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.46%E -0.492%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.93%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.32%EV +3.08%E +0.494%K +0.588%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -0.510%E -0.100%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 15:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -0.882%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -4.41%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -0.882%E -0.147%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.84%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -3.36%E -0.574%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.19%E -0.722%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.31%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:30
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -4.41%E -0.900%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 15:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:21
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -5.01%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 15:28
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.23%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.55%EV -5.34%E -0.932%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.22%EV -8.51%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 15:30
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.26%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -13.00%E -9.56%K -36.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -9.14%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -21.97%E -5.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.57%EV -7.88%E -5.47%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.79%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.31%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.95%EV -1.48%E -0.962%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -12.45%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.34%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:16
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -3.40%E -2.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.47%EV -9.16%E -6.45%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -13.27%E -2.53%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 15:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.23%EV -4.04%E -2.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -15.14%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.58%EV -11.08%E -7.97%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -14.10%E -2.71%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.42%EV -11.24%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -3.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -16.12%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -5.96%E -4.05%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -15.75%E -3.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -17.09%E -4.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -5.32%E -3.59%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -7.24%E -4.99%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.44%E -7.46%K -26.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 15:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.17%EV -8.52%E -5.96%K -19.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -17.40%E -3.48%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -20.02%E -4.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.22%EV -9.80%E -6.95%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -20.71%E -4.31%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.22%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.05%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.78%2.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.04%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.81%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30