Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Radomiak Radom

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 13:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.81%49.25%48.85%53.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.831.841.9560.24%54.55%54.35%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visit)

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV +6.31%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.129%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.90%25.72%26.14%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.604.1030.77%27.14%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.03%25.01%26.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.683.703.9131.25%27.20%27.03%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 49.01%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 25.93%; Draw: 25.06%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -13.74%E -7.81%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.52%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -14.72%E -8.46%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.70%E -9.13%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV +2.42%E +0.614%K +0.822%G +0.020%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.70%E -9.13%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV +2.42%E +0.614%K +0.822%G +0.020%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:59
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.37%EV +2.17%E +0.550%K +0.736%G +0.016%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -16.68%E -9.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -1.47%E -0.386%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -1.47%E -0.386%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.47%E -0.386%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 07:20
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 10:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -3.52%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.13%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -6.78%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 07:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 07:19
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 13:33
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 07:20
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 07:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 08:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 07:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:29
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 13:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 07:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.81%E -6.19%K -9.01%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-21 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -18.64%E -11.23%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.35%EV -17.31%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-22 12:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 07:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.50%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.30%EV -13.05%E -3.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 13:18
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.37%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.55%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.08%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -13.55%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-22 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 07:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-02-22 13:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-02-22 13:40
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-02-22 13:40