Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Radomiak Radom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 13:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 49.01%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.81%49.25%48.85%53.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.831.841.9560.24%54.55%54.35%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV +6.31%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.90%25.72%26.14%27.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.683.604.1030.77%27.14%27.78%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.97%25.03%25.01%26.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.703.9131.25%27.20%27.03%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jagiellonia Białystok (Local) : 49.01% ; Radomiak Radom (Visiteur) : 25.93% ; Match nul : 25.06%. Pour Radomiak Radom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +6.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 13:00
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -13.25%E -7.49%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +6.31%E +1.54%K +2.04%G +0.129%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -13.74%E -7.81%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.52%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -14.72%E -8.46%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV +3.72%E +0.930%K +1.24%G +0.046%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.70%E -9.13%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV +2.42%E +0.614%K +0.822%G +0.020%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.70%E -9.13%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV +2.42%E +0.614%K +0.822%G +0.020%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 12:59
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.37%EV +2.17%E +0.550%K +0.736%G +0.016%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -2.02%E -0.517%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -16.68%E -9.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV +1.13%E +0.289%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -1.47%E -0.386%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -1.47%E -0.386%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.47%E -0.386%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 07:20
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -2.76%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 10:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.06%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -3.52%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -6.13%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -6.78%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 07:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 07:19
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 13:33
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 07:20
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.54%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 07:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 08:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 07:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 13:29
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 13:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 07:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.81%E -6.19%K -9.01%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-21 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -18.64%E -11.23%K -28.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -3.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.35%EV -17.31%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-22 12:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 07:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.50%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.13%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.30%EV -13.05%E -3.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 13:18
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.37%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -13.55%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.08%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.43%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -13.55%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-22 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.80%E -5.93%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 07:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-02-22 13:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-02-22 13:40
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-02-22 13:40