Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 35.35%2.83fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.99%35.22%35.39%36.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.02%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visit)
Prediction 37.65%2.66fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%37.75%37.66%39.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.412.402.5843.86%41.42%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.02%26.95%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.75%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 35.35%; Legia Warszawa (Visit): 37.65%; Draw: 27.00%. For Jagiellonia Białystok (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -2.78%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.52%E -4.90%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.78%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -12.65%E -5.45%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -5.26%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.32%EV -2.86%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.80%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.80%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.99%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.67%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.67%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 15:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.67%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 06:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.81%EV -9.15%E -3.56%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.39%EV -9.28%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 15:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.95%EV -9.50%E -3.71%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.23%EV -8.74%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 15:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 15:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 06:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.48%EV -10.56%E -4.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.85%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 15:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.52%E -4.90%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.52%E -4.90%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.85%EV -12.65%E -5.45%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.07%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.12%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.58%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |