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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa

开赛时间： 2026-09-20 15:30 UTC

最终结果： Jagiellonia Białystok 1–3 Legia Warszawa

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jagiellonia Białystok (主队)

预测 35.35%2.83公平赔率
EV -1.02%
优势 -0.363%
Kelly -0.564%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
32.99%35.22%35.39%36.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.02%38.17%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

Legia Warszawa (客队)

预测 37.65%2.66公平赔率
EV -2.86%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -1.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.58

博彩公司预测分布
36.10%37.75%37.66%39.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.412.402.5843.86%41.42%41.67%38.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.00%3.70公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -0.779%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.92%27.02%26.95%28.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.75%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jagiellonia Białystok (主队)：35.35%；Legia Warszawa (客队)：37.65%；平局：27.00%。 对于“Jagiellonia Białystok (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.80，期望值为-1.02%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.02%E -0.363%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -2.78%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.52%E -4.90%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 15:19
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -2.78%E -1.01%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -12.65%E -5.45%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 15:24
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -5.26%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.32%EV -2.86%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -2.80%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 15:19
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.80%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:15
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.15%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:11
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 15:24
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.99%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -14.16%E -6.21%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.67%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.67%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:23
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -6.67%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -3.62%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 15:24
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 15:24
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 15:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.38%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 15:24
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 06:29
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 15:24
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 15:24
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 15:24
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.81%EV -9.15%E -3.56%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.81%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.39%EV -9.28%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 15:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.95%EV -9.50%E -3.71%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.23%EV -8.74%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 15:24
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 15:20
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 15:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 06:29
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 15:24
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.48%EV -10.56%E -4.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -5.50%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.85%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 15:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 15:24
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.64%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.52%E -4.90%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:24
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.52%E -4.90%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 15:19
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.76%E -3.17%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.30%E -5.26%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 15:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.85%EV -12.65%E -5.45%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.07%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.12%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 15:24
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-19 14:01
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00%2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00%0.0%2026-09-20 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-09-20 15:25
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-09-20 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-09-20 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-09-20 15:24
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-09-20 15:24