Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Górnik Zabrze v Śląsk Wrocław

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 15:30 UTC

Final: Górnik Zabrze 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prediction 52.09%1.92fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.45%52.13%52.11%54.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.751.741.8661.35%57.09%57.47%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Visit)

Prediction 22.12%4.52fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.381%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.27%22.05%21.92%23.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.234.254.6027.03%23.66%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -0.907%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%25.82%25.96%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.563.603.7829.85%28.06%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 52.09%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 22.12%; Draw: 25.79%. For Śląsk Wrocław (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -10.92%E -6.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +1.75%E +0.381%K +0.487%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:25
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:16
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -10.92%E -6.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 15:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.06%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -1.34%E -0.301%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -2.52%E -0.667%K -0.907%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:25
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -10.92%E -6.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.49%E -7.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.49%E -7.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -13.01%E -7.79%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -3.78%E -0.868%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -4.22%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -11.44%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.22%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -11.44%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.22%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.88%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -4.88%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:25
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.99%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.08%EV -15.09%E -9.26%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 15:15
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -3.11%E -1.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -6.43%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.29%E -0.878%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:24
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.44%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -10.41%E -2.57%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 14:15
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -10.41%E -2.57%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:50
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 14:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 15:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -12.49%E -7.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.61%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.90%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.82%EV -14.17%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.28%EV -13.09%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -15.94%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -17.05%E -4.55%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -18.16%E -4.91%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-07-25 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-25 15:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-25 15:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-07-25 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-07-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-07-25 15:20

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