L’École des cotes

Górnik Zabrze v Śląsk Wrocław

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 15:30 UTC

Score final : Górnik Zabrze 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prévision 52.09%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.45%52.13%52.11%54.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.751.741.8661.35%57.09%57.47%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Śląsk Wrocław (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.12%4.52cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.381%
Kelly +0.487%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.27%22.05%21.92%23.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.234.254.6027.03%23.66%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.79%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.667%
Kelly -0.907%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%25.82%25.96%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.563.603.7829.85%28.06%27.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -10.92%E -6.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +1.75%E +0.381%K +0.487%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:25
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:15
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:15
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:16
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 07:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -10.92%E -6.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 15:11
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -10.40%E -6.05%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -0.459%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.06%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -1.34%E -0.301%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -2.52%E -0.667%K -0.907%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 15:20
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:25
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:25
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 15:25
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -10.92%E -6.39%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.49%E -7.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.49%E -7.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -2.67%E -0.607%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:15
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -13.01%E -7.79%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -3.78%E -0.868%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 15:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -4.22%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -11.44%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.22%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -11.44%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.22%E -0.975%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 15:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.88%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -4.88%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:25
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.99%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:08
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.08%EV -15.09%E -9.26%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 15:15
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.15%EV -3.11%E -1.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -6.43%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.29%E -0.878%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 09:50
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 14:15
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:24
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 15:25
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.44%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 15:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -10.41%E -2.57%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 14:15
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.78%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -10.41%E -2.57%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 14:15
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 14:15
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 14:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 14:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 15:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 14:15
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 14:15
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -12.49%E -7.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.61%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 14:20
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.90%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.82%EV -14.17%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.28%EV -13.09%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 15:04
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -15.94%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 12:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -17.05%E -4.55%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -18.16%E -4.91%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-07-25 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-07-25 15:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-25 15:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-07-25 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-07-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-07-25 15:20