L’École des cotes

GKS Katowice v Lechia Gdańsk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 39.89%2.51cote équitable
EV +3.71%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +2.32%
Croissance +0.086%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.83%39.73%39.89%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.332.312.6048.78%42.95%43.29%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lechia Gdańsk (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.82%2.96cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.04%33.97%33.80%37.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.672.652.9040.32%37.43%37.74%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.507%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.83%26.30%26.31%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.78%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV +3.71%E +1.43%K +2.32%G +0.086%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -16.14%E -6.51%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 15:40
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:25
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.97%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.83%EV -7.68%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.20%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:20
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -1.93%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:25
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.50%E -0.953%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:25
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -15.46%E -6.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 16:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -16.14%E -6.51%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 16:20
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -7.34%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:23
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.02%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:24
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.02%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:24
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 16:21
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:25
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -1.93%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:15
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:13
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 16:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 16:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 16:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 16:09
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:20
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 16:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.54%E -4.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 16:23
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 16:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 16:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.24%E -6.62%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.46%E -6.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -15.44%E -7.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.61%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -16.23%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-14 16:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -18.23%E -8.89%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%6.0%2026-03-14 16:25