La escuela de los momiosEspañol
GKS Katowice v Lechia Gdańsk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
GKS Katowice (Local)
Predicción 39.89%2.51momio equitativo
EV +3.71%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.086%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.83%39.73%39.89%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.332.312.6048.78%42.95%43.29%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lechia Gdańsk (Visitante)
Predicción 33.82%2.96momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.04%33.97%33.80%37.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.672.652.9040.32%37.43%37.74%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.29%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.372%
Kelly -0.507%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%26.30%26.31%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.78%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV +3.71%E +1.43%K +2.32%G +0.086% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -16.14%E -6.51%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.97%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.83%EV -7.68%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.20%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -1.93%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.50%E -0.953%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -15.46%E -6.18%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -16.14%E -6.51%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -7.34%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:23 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.02%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.02%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 16:21 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -1.93%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 16:13 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.54%E -4.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 16:23 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.24%E -6.62%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.46%E -6.18%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -15.44%E -7.28%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.61%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -16.23%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -18.23%E -8.89%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |