مدرسة الاحتمالات

GKS Katowice v Lechia Gdańsk

البداية: 2026-03-14 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

GKS Katowice (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.89%2.51السعر العادل
EV +3.71%
الأفضلية +1.43%
Kelly +2.32%
النمو +0.086%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.83%39.73%39.89%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.332.312.6048.78%42.95%43.29%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lechia Gdańsk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.82%2.96السعر العادل
EV -1.93%
الأفضلية -0.666%
Kelly -1.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.04%33.97%33.80%37.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.672.652.9040.32%37.43%37.74%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.29%3.80السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.372%
Kelly -0.507%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.83%26.30%26.31%27.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.78%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV +3.71%E +1.43%K +2.32%G +0.086%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.56%EV -16.14%E -6.51%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 15:40
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -1.08%E -0.434%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -2.27%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:25
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.97%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.83%EV -7.68%E -2.81%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.20%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:20
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -1.93%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:25
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.50%E -0.953%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:25
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.06%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -15.46%E -6.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 16:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 16:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -6.26%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -16.14%E -6.51%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 16:20
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -7.34%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:23
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.02%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:24
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -8.02%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:24
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 16:21
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.75%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:25
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -1.93%E -0.666%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:25
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:15
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:13
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 16:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 16:25
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 16:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 16:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 16:09
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:20
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -10.25%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 16:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -7.00%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -14.54%E -4.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 16:20
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 16:23
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 16:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.24%E -5.57%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.91%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 16:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.24%E -6.62%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.46%E -6.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 16:05
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -15.44%E -7.28%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.61%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -16.23%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -11.06%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-14 16:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -18.23%E -8.89%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 16:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-03-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 16:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-03-14 16:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%6.0%2026-03-14 16:25