Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.88
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 34.45%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 37.20%; Draw: 28.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.780%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -0.789%E -0.274%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -0.789%E -0.274%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -0.789%E -0.274%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.76%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -1.41%E -0.533%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -5.60%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -11.46%E -4.81%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -11.46%E -4.81%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.780%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.780%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.33%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -3.33%E -0.977%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.63%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.12%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.63%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.12%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -13.32%E -5.72%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -11.83%E -4.99%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -11.83%E -4.99%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.95%E -4.98%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.06%EV -11.12%E -4.31%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.87%EV -13.69%E -5.90%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.07%EV -11.27%E -3.60%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 18:48 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.06%EV -13.19%E -5.23%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.81%EV -15.55%E -6.85%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.14%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -18.36%E -6.37%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -17.32%E -7.22%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -19.21%E -6.74%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.54% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |