La escuela de los momios

GKS Katowice v Górnik Zabrze

Inicio: 2026-02-28 19:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Predicción 34.45%2.90momio equitativo
EV -0.789%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.420%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.86%34.34%34.50%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.702.8841.67%37.17%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)

Predicción 37.20%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.855%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.33%37.19%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.442.452.6544.05%40.97%40.82%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.780%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.312%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%28.33%28.31%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.223.253.5035.09%31.07%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -0.789%E -0.274%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 21:54
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -0.789%E -0.274%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 21:54
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -0.789%E -0.274%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 21:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:24
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 10:50
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -9.60%E -3.95%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.76%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.33%EV -1.41%E -0.533%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -5.60%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:25
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:24
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:24
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:34
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -11.46%E -4.81%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -11.46%E -4.81%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 18:34
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.780%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:25
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -0.780%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:24
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:59
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:25
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 19:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:35
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.33%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -4.02%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -3.33%E -0.977%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:09
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.57%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 18:39
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:25
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.74%E -3.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 18:25
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 34.63%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.12%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:44
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 34.63%EV -8.37%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.12%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:24
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 18:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 18:30
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 18:25
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -13.32%E -5.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 18:35
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -11.83%E -4.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -11.83%E -4.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 18:24
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.95%E -4.98%K -7.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.06%EV -11.12%E -4.31%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.87%EV -13.69%E -5.90%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.07%EV -11.27%E -3.60%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 18:48
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.06%EV -13.19%E -5.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.81%EV -15.55%E -6.85%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.14%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 18:24
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -18.36%E -6.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 18:24
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -17.32%E -7.22%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -14.43%E -6.28%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -19.21%E -6.74%K -10.38%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-28 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-28 19:10
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-28 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.48%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-02-28 19:00
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.54%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%1.9%2026-02-28 19:09