Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 42.03%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 31.40%; Draw: 26.57%. For Cracovia Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.18%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -2.65%E -0.853%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV -4.62%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.17%EV -6.73%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -8.38%E -3.85%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -8.07%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.38%E -3.85%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.80%E -4.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -8.80%E -4.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.34%EV -8.80%E -4.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 15:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 15:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 15:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -2.65%E -0.853%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.86%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.74%EV -13.01%E -4.70%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.40%EV -11.52%E -3.46%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-19 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -13.01%E -6.28%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.96%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.85%E -6.75%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.85%E -6.75%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10% | 2.5% | 2026-09-19 15:11 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |