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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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GKS Katowice v Cracovia Kraków

Início: 2026-09-19 15:30 UTC

Final: GKS Katowice 3–2 Cracovia Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Previsão 42.03%2.38odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.54%42.03%42.02%43.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.71%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 31.40%3.18odd justa
EV -2.65%
Vantagem -0.853%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.75%31.42%31.45%32.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.34%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.57%3.76odd justa
EV -4.35%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.52%26.54%26.53%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.26%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: GKS Katowice (Local): 42.03%; Cracovia Kraków (Visitante): 31.40%; Empate: 26.57%. Para Cracovia Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -2.65%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.18%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -2.65%E -0.853%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV -4.62%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 15:21
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.35%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:21
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:26
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.70%E -3.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 15:25
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:01
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:11
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.17%EV -6.73%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:24
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 15:26
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.21%EV -8.38%E -3.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -8.07%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -8.38%E -3.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.80%E -4.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -8.80%E -4.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 15:06
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.34%EV -8.80%E -4.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 15:21
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 15:21
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:11
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:11
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 15:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.64%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 15:21
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 15:21
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 15:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.06%E -4.70%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 15:21
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -2.65%E -0.853%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.01%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.86%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.74%EV -13.01%E -4.70%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.40%EV -11.52%E -3.46%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 15:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -13.01%E -6.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.96%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.85%E -6.75%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.85%E -6.75%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-09-19 15:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-09-19 15:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-09-19 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-09-19 15:26
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%2.5%2026-09-19 15:11
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%4.1%2026-09-19 15:26