Language:English
Cracovia Kraków v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%41.79%41.69%43.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.182.3151.28%45.97%45.87%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -0.416%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.159%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%27.45%27.49%29.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.6233.33%29.74%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.78%3.25fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.968%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.47%30.75%30.82%31.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.43%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 41.71%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 27.51%; Draw: 30.78%. For Piast Gliwice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -0.416%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.23%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 08:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.966%E -0.268%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -8.65%E -3.95%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -1.52%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.46%EV -8.90%E -3.01%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -1.52%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -0.966%E -0.268%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 16:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -0.966%E -0.268%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 05:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -10.73%E -5.02%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -17.47%E -5.82%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.82%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -13.65%E -6.60%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -13.65%E -6.60%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -13.21%E -4.68%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-27 16:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.89%EV -18.66%E -9.57%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.98%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |