L’École des cotes

Cracovia Kraków v Piast Gliwice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prévision 41.71%2.40cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.94%41.79%41.69%43.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.182.182.3151.28%45.97%45.87%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Piast Gliwice (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.51%3.64cote équitable
EV -0.416%
Avantage -0.115%
Kelly -0.159%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.58%27.45%27.49%29.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6233.33%29.74%29.41%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.78%3.25cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -0.968%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.47%30.75%30.82%31.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.43%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 16:35
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.06%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 13:40
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -0.416%E -0.115%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.23%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 16:35
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 16:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 13:39
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 16:34
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 23:05
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 23:04
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -6.98%E -3.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 08:29
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.966%E -0.268%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:33
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 13:39
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 16:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 16:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 16:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 16:34
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 13:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 16:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -8.65%E -3.95%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -1.52%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.46%EV -8.90%E -3.01%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 16:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.05%E -0.968%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:35
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.77%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 16:34
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -1.52%E -0.424%K -0.588%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 16:35
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -0.966%E -0.268%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 16:32
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -0.966%E -0.268%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 10:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 16:34
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 05:02
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 13:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 13:39
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -10.73%E -5.02%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 16:34
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -11.57%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.84%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 16:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 16:34
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 16:34
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 16:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.36%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 16:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 16:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -17.47%E -5.82%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-26 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -12.40%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.82%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-27 13:40
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -13.65%E -6.60%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.59%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-27 16:35
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -13.65%E -6.60%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -13.21%E -4.68%K -7.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-27 16:33
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.89%EV -18.66%E -9.57%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.98%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-27 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%0.3%2026-02-27 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%0.3%2026-02-27 16:34
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%0.3%2026-02-27 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-02-27 16:34
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-02-27 16:35