A Escola das Odds

Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza

Início: 2026-05-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Arka Gdynia 2–3 Nieciecza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Local)

Previsão 55.90%1.79odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -4.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.18%55.92%55.84%57.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.661.651.7363.69%60.41%60.61%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nieciecza (Visitante)

Previsão 20.78%4.81odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -0.501%
Kelly -0.636%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.74%20.74%20.78%21.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.434.504.7025.00%22.57%22.22%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.33%4.29odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.41%23.34%23.38%25.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.853.804.1129.41%25.99%26.32%24.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.86%E -2.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 16:40
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -4.13%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -4.97%E -2.93%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 16:55
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:51
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-18 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -9.62%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.55%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.55%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:51
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:53
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 16:15
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.26%EV -4.22%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:56
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -10.66%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-18 16:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -8.89%E -5.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 16:51
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -8.89%E -5.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 16:51
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.43%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 16:52
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.43%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 16:50
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.42%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -17.19%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-18 16:15
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 16:54
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -3.39%E -0.729%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 16:55
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 16:55
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-18 16:39
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.90%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-18 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.72%EV -11.12%E -7.00%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.85%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.44%EV -11.82%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 16:51
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.68%E -7.39%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -16.90%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-18 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -12.24%E -7.80%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -20.69%E -6.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-18 16:51
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-18 16:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-05-18 16:51