StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-18 17:00 UTC

Endstand: Arka Gdynia 2–3 Nieciecza

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arka Gdynia (Heim)

Prognose 55.90%1.79faire Quote
EV -3.30%
Vorteil -1.91%
Kelly -4.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.18%55.92%55.84%57.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.661.651.7363.69%60.41%60.61%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nieciecza (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.78%4.81faire Quote
EV -2.35%
Vorteil -0.501%
Kelly -0.636%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.74%20.74%20.78%21.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.434.504.7025.00%22.57%22.22%21.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.33%4.29faire Quote
EV -4.13%
Vorteil -1.00%
Kelly -1.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.41%23.34%23.38%25.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.853.804.1129.41%25.99%26.32%24.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arka Gdynia (Heim): 55.90%; Nieciecza (Auswärts): 20.78%; Unentschieden: 23.33%. Für Nieciecza (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.81. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 4.70, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.35%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.86%E -2.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -4.13%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -4.97%E -2.93%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-18 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -9.62%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.55%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.55%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:15
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:51
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 16:15
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.26%EV -4.22%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:56
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -10.66%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-18 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-18 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -8.89%E -5.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 16:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -8.89%E -5.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 16:51
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.43%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 16:52
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.43%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.42%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -17.19%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-18 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -3.39%E -0.729%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-18 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.90%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-18 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.72%EV -11.12%E -7.00%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.85%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.44%EV -11.82%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 16:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.68%E -7.39%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -16.90%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-18 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -12.24%E -7.80%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -20.69%E -6.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-18 16:51
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-18 16:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-05-18 16:51