La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Predicción 55.90%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.18%55.92%55.84%57.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.651.7363.69%60.41%60.61%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nieciecza (Visitante)
Predicción 20.78%4.81momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.501%
Kelly -0.636%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.74%20.74%20.78%21.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.504.7025.00%22.57%22.22%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.33%4.29momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.41%23.34%23.38%25.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.853.804.1129.41%25.99%26.32%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -3.30%E -1.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -3.86%E -2.24%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 16:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.01%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -4.13%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -4.42%E -2.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -4.97%E -2.93%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -13.69%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-18 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -9.62%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.55%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.55%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.03%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 16:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-18 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.26%EV -4.22%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 16:56 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -10.66%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.02%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -8.33%E -5.08%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-18 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -8.89%E -5.45%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%EV -8.89%E -5.45%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.43%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 16:52 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.43%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.42%EV -9.45%E -5.83%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -17.19%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-18 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -2.35%E -0.501%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -3.39%E -0.729%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.01%E -6.21%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -6.51%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -8.59%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.74%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-18 16:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.90%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.36%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.72%EV -11.12%E -7.00%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.85%EV -11.70%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.44%EV -11.82%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.68%E -7.39%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -16.90%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -12.24%E -7.80%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -10.04%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -20.69%E -6.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 16:51 |