Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arka Gdynia v GKS Katowice

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 11:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arka Gdynia (Local)

Prediction 31.05%3.22fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.66%31.16%31.05%34.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.892.893.1637.45%34.58%34.60%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visit)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV +4.07%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.69%39.06%39.13%40.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.382.6647.62%42.01%42.02%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.61%29.78%29.81%30.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.2935.71%32.41%32.26%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arka Gdynia (Local): 31.05%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 39.12%; Draw: 29.83%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -17.10%E -6.40%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.69%EV +4.07%E +1.53%K +2.45%G +0.100%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 11:09
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.40%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 10:49
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:49
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -1.88%E -0.596%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -1.88%E -0.596%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 10:50
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -2.81%E -0.899%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:49
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 10:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 10:50
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.33%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 11:10
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -9.33%E -3.20%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -9.33%E -3.20%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 10:50
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:59
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -4.37%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -7.67%E -3.25%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV -1.87%E -0.569%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.83%EV -7.67%E -3.25%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 10:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 10:59
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 11:10
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 11:09
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 10:50
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:50
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -12.44%E -4.41%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.38%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.47%EV -11.12%E -3.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 10:58
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-22 10:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -12.01%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.41%EV -15.10%E -6.96%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-22 10:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -10.58%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.10%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-22 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -16.49%E -5.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-22 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-02-22 10:59