La escuela de los momios

Arka Gdynia v GKS Katowice

Inicio: 2026-02-22 11:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Local)

Predicción 31.05%3.22momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.596%
Kelly -0.872%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.66%31.16%31.05%34.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.672.892.893.1637.45%34.58%34.60%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GKS Katowice (Visitante)

Predicción 39.12%2.56momio equitativo
EV +4.07%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +2.45%
Crecimiento +0.100%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.69%39.06%39.13%40.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.382.382.6647.62%42.01%42.02%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.569%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.61%29.78%29.81%30.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.2935.71%32.41%32.26%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -17.10%E -6.40%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.69%EV +4.07%E +1.53%K +2.45%G +0.100%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 11:09
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.40%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 10:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:49
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:49
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:50
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 10:49
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -1.88%E -0.596%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 10:50
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -1.88%E -0.596%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 10:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 10:50
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -2.81%E -0.899%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:49
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 10:50
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 10:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 10:49
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 10:50
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 10:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 11:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.33%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 11:10
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -9.33%E -3.20%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 10:49
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -9.33%E -3.20%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 10:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:59
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 10:59
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -4.37%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -7.67%E -3.25%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV -1.87%E -0.569%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 11:04
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.83%EV -7.67%E -3.25%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 10:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 10:59
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 11:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 10:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.75%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.56%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 11:09
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.85%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.51%E -4.04%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 10:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-22 10:50
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 10:59
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -12.44%E -4.41%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.38%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.47%EV -11.12%E -3.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 10:58
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.96%E -3.43%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-22 10:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -13.06%E -4.66%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -12.01%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 10:49
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.41%EV -15.10%E -6.96%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-22 10:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -10.58%E -3.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.10%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-22 10:35
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -14.61%E -5.31%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.78%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.84%EV -16.49%E -5.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-22 10:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-02-22 11:10
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-02-22 10:59