Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK v Sandefjord

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 16:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 2–1 Sandefjord

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK (Local)

Prediction 73.22%1.37fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -16.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.93%73.15%73.23%75.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.261.261.3084.03%79.26%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandefjord (Visit)

Prediction 10.91%9.17fair odd
EV +14.52%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.222%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.24%10.93%10.94%12.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.378.5010.5014.29%11.94%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.88%6.30fair odd
EV -0.608%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.94%15.93%15.83%18.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.795.786.2620.00%17.27%17.32%15.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viking FK (Local): 73.22%; Sandefjord (Visit): 10.91%; Draw: 15.88%. For Sandefjord (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.17. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.23%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +14.52%E +1.38%K +1.53%G +0.222%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 15:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.55%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.82%EV +4.71%E +0.490%K +0.547%G +0.026%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.63%EV -15.06%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.55%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.82%EV +4.71%E +0.490%K +0.547%G +0.026%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.63%EV -15.06%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.54I 10.48%NM 10.08%EV +4.05%E +0.425%K +0.474%G +0.019%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.36%EV -0.608%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.84%E -0.204%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -1.84%E -0.204%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.50%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 15:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -1.84%E -0.204%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 15:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 72.86%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.64%EV -3.69%E -0.418%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -9.50%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 15:55
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.21%E -7.43%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -4.56%E -0.522%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -6.32%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.02%E -5.52%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -5.11%E -0.587%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -6.32%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 15:49
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.76%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.93%EV -5.66%E -0.654%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.91%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.93%EV -6.20%E -0.721%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.93%EV -6.20%E -0.721%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 15:55
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.81%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -3.15%E -0.516%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 15:50
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 73.81%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -3.15%E -0.516%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 15:50
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.21%E -7.43%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:10
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.21%E -7.43%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:50
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:08
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:39
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:15
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:50
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -20.61%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 15:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.68%E -8.75%K -48.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.68%E -8.75%K -48.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 15:45
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.16%EV -8.38%E -0.998%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 15:15
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.99%EV -7.02%E -5.52%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -9.47%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -7.12%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 15:55
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -10.02%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.89%EV -10.02%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -11.09%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 15:48
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 15:55
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.02%E -5.52%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.09%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:54
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.54%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -9.50%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 15:50
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -14.26%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 15:50
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 72.60%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.16%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -14.26%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 15:50
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.76%EV -12.87%E -10.82%K -67.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.81%EV -15.47%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -6.32%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:50
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -18.20%E -2.43%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 15:55
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 15:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 15:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.25%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.26%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-18 15:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%2.0%2026-07-18 15:40