La escuela de los momios

Viking FK v Sandefjord

Inicio: 2026-07-18 16:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 2–1 Sandefjord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 73.22%1.37momio equitativo
EV -4.82%
Ventaja -3.71%
Kelly -16.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.93%73.15%73.23%75.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.261.261.3084.03%79.26%79.37%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 10.91%9.17momio equitativo
EV +14.52%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.222%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.24%10.93%10.94%12.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.378.5010.5014.29%11.94%11.76%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.88%6.30momio equitativo
EV -0.608%
Ventaja -0.097%
Kelly -0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.94%15.93%15.83%18.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.795.786.2620.00%17.27%17.32%15.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.23%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +14.52%E +1.38%K +1.53%G +0.222%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 15:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.55%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.82%EV +4.71%E +0.490%K +0.547%G +0.026%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.63%EV -15.06%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.55%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.82%EV +4.71%E +0.490%K +0.547%G +0.026%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.63%EV -15.06%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.54I 10.48%NM 10.08%EV +4.05%E +0.425%K +0.474%G +0.019%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.36%EV -0.608%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.84%E -0.204%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -1.84%E -0.204%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -9.50%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 15:10
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -1.84%E -0.204%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 15:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 72.86%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.64%EV -3.69%E -0.418%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -9.50%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 15:55
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -9.21%E -7.43%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.48%EV -4.56%E -0.522%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.55%EV -6.32%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.02%E -5.52%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -5.11%E -0.587%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -6.32%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 15:49
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.76%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.93%EV -5.66%E -0.654%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.91%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.93%EV -6.20%E -0.721%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.93%EV -6.20%E -0.721%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 15:55
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -0.767%E -0.123%K -0.146%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.81%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -3.15%E -0.516%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 15:50
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 73.81%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -3.15%E -0.516%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 15:50
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.21%E -7.43%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:10
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.21%E -7.43%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:50
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:08
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:39
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:15
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:50
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -20.61%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 15:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.68%E -8.75%K -48.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.68%E -8.75%K -48.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -7.29%E -0.858%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 15:45
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.16%EV -8.38%E -0.998%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 15:15
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.99%EV -7.02%E -5.52%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.17%EV -9.47%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -7.12%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 15:55
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 72.92%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -10.02%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -4.74%E -0.789%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.89%EV -10.02%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -11.09%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 15:48
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 15:55
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.02%E -5.52%K -25.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -11.09%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:54
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.54%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -9.50%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 15:50
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.90%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -14.26%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 15:50
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 72.60%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.16%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -14.26%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 15:50
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.76%EV -12.87%E -10.82%K -67.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -12.74%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -8.71%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -7.75%E -6.15%K -29.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.81%EV -15.47%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -6.32%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:50
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -18.20%E -2.43%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 15:55
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 15:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -16.64%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 15:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -12.67%E -2.30%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.25%EV -9.94%E -8.09%K -43.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -23.65%E -3.38%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.26%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-07-18 15:40
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.54%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-07-18 15:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%2.0%2026-07-18 15:40