StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Viking FK v Lillestrom

2026-09-20 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Matchresultat

33 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Viking FK (Hemma)

Prognos 62.46%1.60rättvist odds
EV -5.07%
Fördel -3.33%
Kelly -9.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.75%62.54%62.36%63.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.371.461.471.5272.99%68.65%68.03%65.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Borta)

Prognos 17.42%5.74rättvist odds
EV +0.160%
Fördel +0.028%
Kelly +0.034%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.30%17.34%17.51%18.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.355.405.7521.74%18.69%18.52%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.13%4.97rättvist odds
EV -2.99%
Fördel -0.621%
Kelly -0.784%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.66%20.12%20.12%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.544.504.8223.81%22.01%22.22%20.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Viking FK (Hemma): 62.46%; Lillestrom (Borta): 17.42%; Oavgjort: 20.13%. För Lillestrom (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.74. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.75, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.160%.

Spelbolagsodds (33 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.160%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:06
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -0.711%E -0.125%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -3.40%E -0.708%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.27%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.04%EV -2.98%E -0.534%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.69%EV -2.99%E -0.621%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:30
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.68%EV -5.07%E -3.33%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.26%EV -3.85%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -4.40%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.45%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.41%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 16:21
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.64%EV -6.94%E -4.66%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -6.41%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.03%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:06
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -10.69%E -7.47%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.06%EV -11.31%E -7.97%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -7.68%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -6.94%E -4.66%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.42%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.57%E -5.11%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -7.42%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -8.82%E -6.04%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -8.19%E -5.57%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -9.42%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.32%E -4.21%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 16:21
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.12%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.37%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.79%EV -14.44%E -10.54%K -39.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -12.90%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.01%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.62%EV -10.69%E -7.47%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -11.45%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -10.06%E -6.99%K -22.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.26%E -3.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.18%EV -11.94%E -8.47%K -29.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -19.87%E -4.32%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-13 15:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.